Geopolitics Forecaster

1. Role Overview

Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their domain expertise in a unique setting focused on enhancing AI reasoning models.

2. Key Responsibilities

• Produce structured forecasts on geopolitical events, risks, and regional dynamics

• Document your reasoning clearly, citing relevant sources and frameworks

• Assess political, military, and diplomatic developments using open-source intelligence

• Collaborate with other expert forecasters to compare and refine outputs

• Support the design and evaluation of forecasting tasks

3. Ideal Qualifications

• Background in political science, international relations, security studies, or related fields

• Demonstrated forecasting experience or tournament participation (e.g., GJ Open, Metaculus)

• Ability to synthesize complex geopolitical information into structured insights

• Excellent written communication and research skills

• Familiarity with current global events and international affairs

4. More About the Opportunity

• Expected commitment: ~10–20 hours/week

6. Application Process

• Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started

• You’ll complete a brief form

• We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps

We consider all qualified applicants without regard to legally protected characteristics and provide reasonable accommodations upon request.

Contract and Payment Terms

• You will be engaged as an independent contractor.
• This is a fully remote role that can be completed on your own schedule.
• Projects can be extended, shortened, or concluded early depending on needs and performance.
• Your work at Mercor will not involve access to confidential or proprietary information from any employer, client, or institution.
• Payments are weekly on Stripe or Wise based on services rendered.
• Please note: We are unable to support H1-B or STEM OPT candidates at this time.

About Mercor

Mercor partners with leading AI labs and enterprises to train frontier models using human expertise. You will work on projects that focus on training and enhancing AI systems. You will be paid competitively, collaborate with leading researchers, and help shape the next generation of AI systems in your area of expertise.